Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.806936 4.490648 5.287360 6.290733 7.529604 9.020749 10.968926
2024-12-29 2.785112 3.620269 4.715499 6.283325 8.514033 11.642983 16.491041
2025-01-05 2.246594 3.101021 4.307990 6.186055 9.126563 13.719190 21.787392
2025-01-12 1.950026 2.825175 4.138740 6.330343 10.055842 16.455786 29.076665
2025-01-19 1.675329 2.520447 3.850948 6.198639 10.468116 18.415343 35.749128
2025-01-26 1.566632 2.448241 3.905275 6.629814 11.951353 22.757759 49.147924
2025-02-02 1.451736 2.343945 3.881857 6.908466 13.211961 27.081792 64.808869
2025-02-09 1.362130 2.266636 3.888089 7.237343 14.658431 32.334107 86.011227
2025-02-16 1.258346 2.148096 3.797322 7.349538 15.661063 36.920642 108.441284
2025-02-23 1.173663 2.052118 3.732635 7.500095 16.794625 42.312065 137.651680
2025-03-02 1.076147 1.919098 3.574419 7.411969 17.315298 46.224255 164.849688
2025-03-09 1.029994 1.879287 3.598710 7.745739 19.040165 54.574968 218.691064
2025-03-16 0.930170 1.733306 3.405920 7.592649 19.596063 60.220946 271.644487
2025-03-23 0.850503 1.620991 3.275204 7.586770 20.671085 68.770207 356.903186
2025-03-30 0.774557 1.505176 3.115695 7.464823 21.348284 76.378287 453.153207
2025-04-06 0.727325 1.444160 3.071483 7.645448 23.119757 90.134808 630.863547
2025-04-13 0.666149 1.344299 2.918462 7.480579 23.626971 98.653522 792.608997
2025-04-20 0.648284 1.339348 2.996443 8.020886 27.048853 125.593862 1263.404180
2025-04-27 0.621875 1.310962 3.010340 8.370902 29.935383 153.332830 1924.344925
2025-05-04 0.599911 1.290080 3.040220 8.784822 33.367236 189.638158 3055.900975
2025-05-11 0.568918 1.243319 2.992743 8.926225 35.666051 221.790297 4502.139236
2025-05-18 0.542342 1.204274 2.960514 9.116130 38.359457 262.181417 6893.110529
2025-05-25 0.508204 1.142196 2.853462 9.004951 39.455405 290.889720 9536.209638